Psychoeconomics: globalization, markets, crisis - стр. 20

A hardly perceptible, and at times simply imperceptible change of the agents of economic activity in terms of all the metaprograms, accentuations, and psychotypes that have been examined before goes unnoticed by its participants. But in the aggregate, according to the degree of growth of these cumulative causes, we see the result, namely a change in the trendline. And only after this change has occurred does consciousness look around for the causes of this phenomenon.

And before it can reach extreme values, some psychological indicator (value, accentuation, personality trait, metaprogram, etc.) passes through an oscillatory correction, and sometimes a real change, in a specific person or in a group of people. That is, the swings exist within the cycles designated on the graph. They are universal. Behind these swings stands an oscillating change of consciousness and even the culture of the subject of economic activity in the widest sense of this word. That’s how people are constructed.

Previously, these swings differed between countries. Today, thanks to the globalization of our world, these swings are becoming increasingly synchronized.

The presence of a high proportion of speculative capital has led to a situation where different market fragments may oscillate with different amplitudes; more importantly, some elements of the market begin to have amplitudes that oppose each other. This often affects the stock and commodities markets. This is understandable, as a speculator has no time to wait when the market is falling. He needs constantly growing markets. This is absolutely necessary when profit in the financial sphere is continually higher than profit in the manufacturing sphere, while everyone’s debts cannot be repaid through profits in production. In a period of growth of the hysteroid type, of emotional people, in the period of dominance of the post-postresonators all social and personal expenditures are bound to increasing financial profit. Otherwise social protests and psychological crises arise.

Therefore, the agents of economic and financial activity are forced to quit investing their resources in a market that is beginning to settle down, and they begin transferring their assets to a growing market. These decisions of capital speculators led to an antiphasic swing of the stock and commodities markets, and likewise to antiphasic growth of some financial “bubbles”.

How then do psychoeconomic cycles change? This can be seen by juxtaposing the graphs of the cyclicity of the appearance of various economic indicators and the cycles of solar activity. Foreign economic statistics present various statistical data and charts. One of them is special. It is known as the "One Chart to Rule Them All". It is presented in the graph below.