Карантин. COVID-19 – вирус, который потряс мир

Когда перевод этой книги был подготовлен к печати, количество заболевших во всем мире составило 628 654 059, а число умерших – более 6 566 710 человек (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/13.10.2022). – Здесь и далее сноски в конце страниц принадлежат научному редактору перевода.

IMF, World Economic Outlook Update, June 2020; www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2020/06/24/WEOUpdateJune2020.

O. D. Westad, “The Sources of Chinese Conduct: Are Washington and Beijing Fighting a New Cold War?” Foreign Afairs 98, no. 5 (2019): 86.

IMF, World Economic Outlook, January 2020; www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/ Issues/2020/01/20/weo-update-january2020.

J. Londono, S. Ma, and B. A. Wilson, “Quantifying the Impact of Foreign Economic Uncertainty on the U. S. Economy,” FED Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, October 8, 2019.

P. Commins, “Uncertainty Remains as Long as Trump Tweets,” Financial Review, October 14, 2019.

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A. Fotiadis, “Greece’s Refugee Plan Is Inhumane and Doomed to Fail. The EU Must Step In,” Guardian, February 16, 2020.

Strategy, Policy, & Review Department, World Bank, “The Evolution of Public Debt Vulnerabilities in Lower Income Economies,” International Monetary Fund, February 10, 2020.

Из-за пандемии COVID-19 конференция была отложена и прошла в Глазго с 31 октября по 12 ноября 2021 г.

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B. Milanovic, Capitalism, Alone: The Future of the System Tat Rules the World (Harvard University Press, 2019).

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A. Tooze, Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crises Changed the World (Viking, 2018).

См., например, о выступлении Джанет Йеллен в феврале 2020 г.: S. Lane, “Yellen Pins Rise of Populism, Trade Skepticism on Economic Inequality,” The Hill, February 4, 2020.

B. Latour, Down to Earth: Politics in the New Climatic Regime (Polity, 2018).

M. Wucker, The Gray Rhino: How to Recognize and Act on Obvious Dangers We Ignore (St. Martin’s Press, 2016).

“The Hunt for the Origins of SARS-COV-2 Will Look Beyond China,” Economist, July 25, 2020.

D. H. Autor, D. Dorn, and G. H. Hanson, “The China Shock: Learning from Labor-Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade,” Annual Review of Economics 8, no. 1 (2016): 205–40.

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V. Strauss, “1.5 Billion Children Around Globe Afected by School Closure. What Countries Are Doing to Keep Kids Learning During the Pandemic,” Washington Post, March 27, 2020.

“COVID-19 Could Lead to Permanent Loss in Learning and Trillions of Dollars in Lost Earnings,” World Bank, June 18, 2020.

H. Else, “How a Torrent of COVID Science Changed Research Publishing – in Seven Charts,” Nature, December 16, 2020; www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03564-y.

For a brilliant example of the genre, see G. Packer, “We Are Living in a Failed State,” Atlantic, June 2020.

J. Konyndyk, “Exceptionalism Is Killing Americans: An Insular Political Culture Failed the Test of the Pandemic,” Foreign Afairs, June 8, 2020.

E. Morin, Homeland Earth: A Manifesto for the New Millennium (Advances in Systems Teory, Complexity and the Human Sciences), trans. A. B. Kern (Hampton Press, 1999).

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Классический анализ, в котором блестяще описан более ранний период кризиса представлен в работе: S. Hall, C. Critcher, T. Jeferson, J. Clarke, and B. Roberts, Policing the Crisis: Mugging, the State and Law and Order (Red Globe Press, 2013).

W. Wo Lap Lam, “Xi Jinping Warns Against the ‘Black Swans’ and ‘Gray Rhinos’ of a Possible Color Revolution,” Jamestown Foundation, February 20, 2019.

M. Hart and J. Link, “Chinese President Xi Jinping’s Philosophy on Risk Management,” Center for American Progress, February 20, 2020.

J. Cai, “Beijing Pins Hopes on ‘Guy with the Emperor’s Sword’ to Restore Order in Coronavirus-Hit Hubei,” South China Morning Post, February 12, 2020.

Hart and Link, “Chinese President Xi Jinping’s Philosophy on Risk Management.”

Замечательную карту можно найти в: https://www.creosotemaps.com/blm2020.

M. Wolf, “What the World Can Learn from the COVID-19 Pandemic,” Financial Times, November 24, 2020.

M. Stott and G. Long, “‘Tis Is a Real World War’: Ecuador’s President on the Virus,” Financial Times, June 15, 2020.

“The Vocabularist: Where Did the Word ‘Crisis’ Come From?” BBC, September 15, 2020. R. Koselleck; trans. M. W. Richter, “Crisis,” Journal of the History of Ideas 67, no. 2 (2006): 357–400; JSTOR, www.jstor.org/stable/30141882.

G. George, “Covid-19 and the Tussle Between Coercion and Compliance,” Daily Maverick, May 4, 2020.

B. G. Rivas, “The OAS Must Condemn Repressive Measures Taken to Combat the Pandemic,” Amnesty, September 7, 2020.

U. Beck, Risk Society: Towards a New Modernity (SAGE Publications, 1992).

Об агнотоцене см. «агнотология»: C. Bonneuil and J. B. Fernbach, The Shock of the Anthropocene: The Earth, History and Us (Verso, 2016).

A. Tooze, “The Sociologist Who Could Save Us from Coronavirus,” Foreign Policy, August 1, 2020.

L. Lenel, “Geschichte ohne Libretto,” H Soz-Kult, May 12, 2020. L. Lenel, “Public and Scientifc Uncertainty in the Time of COVID 19,” History of Knowledge, May 13, 2020.

A. Roberts, The Logic of Discipline: Global Capitalism and the Architecture of Government (Oxford University Press, 2011).

Эта парадигма рассмотрена в: G. R. Krippner, Capitalizing on Crisis: The Political Origins of the Rise of Finance (Harvard University Press, 2011).

A. Kapczynski and G. Gonsalves, “Alone Against the Virus,” Boston Review, March 13, 2020.

F T Series, The New Social Contract, www.ft.com/content/774f3aef-aded-47f9-8abb-a523191f1c19.

A. Pettifor, The Case for the Green New Deal (Verso, 2020); K. Aronof, A. Battistoni, D. A. Cohen, and T. Riofrancos, A Planet to Win: Why We Need a Green New Deal (Verso, 2019).

Популярное изложение см.: S. Kelton, The Defcit Myth: Modern Monetary Teory and the Birth of the People’s Economy (PublicAfairs, 2020).

J. M. Keynes, 1942 BBC Address (Collected Works XXVII).

BIS Annual Economic Report 30 June 2019; www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2019e2.htm.

S. Hannan, K. Honjo, and M. Raissi, “Mexico Needs a Fiscal Twist: Response to Covid-19 and Beyond,” IMF Working Papers, October 13, 2020.

A. Doherty, “Has the Coronavirus Crisis Killed Neoliberalism? Don’t Bet on It,” Guardian, May 16, 2020. C. Crouch, The Strange Non-Death of Neoliberalism (Polity, 2011). P. Mason, “Day One of UK’s Suppression Strategy,” The Waves, March 17, 2020.

D. Harvey, A Brief History of Neoliberalism (Oxford University Press, 2007).

Это великолепно проанализировано в: D. Gabor, “Tree Myths About EU’s Economic Response to the COVID 19 Pandemic,” Critical Macro Finance, June 15, 2020.

D. Gabor, “The Wall Street Consensus,” SocArXiv, 2 July 2020.

D. Gabor, “Revolution Without Revolutionaries: Interrogating the Return of Monetary Financing,” Transformative Responses to the Crisis, 2020; https://trans-formative-responses.org/wp content/uploads/2021/01/TR_Report_Gabor_ FINAL.pdf.

Following a logic brilliantly sketched out by D. Gabor, “Critical Macro-Finance: A Teoretical Lens,” Finance and Society 6, no. 1 (2020): 45–55.

Об этом я узнал из частной беседы с Барнаби Рейном.

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R. Picket, “U. S. Household Net Worth Surged in Closing Months of 2020,” Bloomberg, March 11, 2021.

J. Henley, “European Elections: Triumphant Greens Demand More Radical Climate Action,” Guardian, May 21, 2019.

Associated Press, “Japan Adopts Green Growth Plan to Go Carbon Free by 2050,” Politico, December 25, 2020. О кампании Байдена см.: joebiden.com/build-back-better/.ec.europa.eu/info/strategy/priorities-2019-2024/european-green-deal_en.

Y. Yang and C. Shepherd, “WHO Investigators Probe Wuhan Virology Lab,” Financial Times, February 3, 2021.

G. G. Chang, “China Deliberately Spread the Coronavirus: What Are the Strategic Consequences?” Hoover Institution, December 9, 2020.

By J. C. Hernández and J. Gorman, “On W. H.O. Trip, China Refused to Hand Over Important Data,” New York Times, February 12, 2021.

Это было поводом для военного вторжения США и союзников в Ирак в 2003 г. Оружия массового поражения найдено не было.

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“EU China – A Strategic Outlook,” European Commission, March 12, 2019, ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/fles/communication eu china a strategic-outlook. pdf.

Франция: www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/country-fles/asia-and-oceania/the-indopacifc-region a priority-for-france/ Германия: www.auswaertiges-amt.de/blob/2380 514/f9784f7e3b3fa1bd7c5446d274a4169e/200901-indo-pazifk-leitlinien–1–data.pdf. For a comparison see: M. Duchâtel and G. Mohan, “Franco-German Divergences in the Indo-Pacifc: The Risk of Strategic Dilution,” Institut Montaigne, October 30, 2020.

О сближении делового Лондона и Китая см.: J. Green, “The City’s Pivot to China in a Post-Brexit World: A Uniquely Vulnerable Policy,” London School of Economics, June 15, 2018. On the pivot of UK defense planning against China in 2020, see H. Warrell, “Britain’s Armed Forces Pivot East to Face Growing China Treat,” Financial Times, July 3, 2020.

G. Yu, “Beijing Observation: Xi Jinping the Man,” China Change, January 26, 2013; T. Greer, “Xi Jinping in Translation: China’s Guiding Ideology,” Palladium, May 31, 2019.

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R. O. Paxton, “I’ve Hesitated to Call Donald Trump a Fascist, Until Now,” Newsweek, January 11, 2021.

J. A. Russell, “America’s Forever Wars Have Finally Come Home,” Responsible Statecraft, June 4, 2020.

J. Iadarola, “What if Bernie Has Already Won Tis Ting?” The Hill, February 23, 2020. S. Hamid, “The Coronavirus Killed the Revolution,” Atlantic, March 25, 2020.

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A. Tooze, “‘We Are Living Trough the First Economic Crisis of the Anthropocene,’” Guardian, May 7, 2020.

Лучшее краткое введение см.: C. Bonneuil and J. B. Fressoz, trans. D. Fernbach, The Shock of the Anthropocene: The Earth, History and Us (Verso, 2016).

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W. D. Nordhaus, “The Health of Nations: The Contribution of Improved Health to Living Standards,” February 2020; cowles.yale.edu/sites/default/fles/fles/ pub/d13/d1355.pdf.

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Davis, The Monster at Our Door.

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